If you were paying attention to politics at all last night or today or happened to even glance at the news then you would have noticed that Iowa’s Caucus had a rather ambiguous outcome. Iowa in the past has propelled presidential candidates through the primary season unto a party’s nomination. Barrack Obama is an excellent example. However, unlike most Iowa Caucus’ in history, no clear victor really emerged. Romney managed to beat Rick Santorum by a mere seven votes. Such a slight victory will not create a huge “buzz” around Romney; rather it highlights the fact that most Republicans do not want him as their party’s nominee. Romney’s victory in Iowa clearly will not skyrocket him to victory in the upcoming primary races. This does however provide an opportunity for another Republican presidential candidate in New Hampshire, Jon Huntsman.
Jon Huntsman, a more moderate Republican, has staked his entire presidential candidacy in New Hampshire. Until recently, Huntsman consistently polled last in New Hampshire even though he gave more face time to New Hampshire than any other candidate in the race. Fortunately for Huntsman his numbers have reached the teens. The last poll showed him at 13 percent, just behind Ron Paul. Huntsman just might be able to use Romney’s weakness with the Republican Party to his advantage. If Romney has even a moderately bad showing in New Hampshire this could really be a benefit to Huntsman giving him potential votes. His huge face time with New Hampshire voters and his more moderate views make him a viable candidate in New Hampshire.
Huntsman does not have to win. All he has to do is out perform what is expected of him in New Hampshire in order to continue with his presidential campaign. By doing this, he will create momentum around his candidacy to go forward in other primary states like South Carolina.
Prediction: (New Hampshire)
Romney : 43
Paul: 19
Huntsman: 16
Santorum: 9
Gingrich: 8
Perry: 5
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2 comments:
Well done!
Alas, although I think Huntsman would be an excellent presidential candidate, and I think he would bring a lot of democratic and moderate votes, the crazies in the Republican party aren't likely to vote for him in a primary. Unfortunately, the primary process is dominated by crazies, and that is especially true in the Republican party.
I think it is very true in the Democratic party also. Hillary was a lot more center left while Obama was far left. All the groups that advocate pure socialism or communism for the US supported Obama as did the extreme environmental groups and groups like PETA and Code Pink.
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